npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

https://www.nature.com/npjclimatsci/

List of Papers (Total 541)

Site selection of desert solar farms based on heterogeneous sand flux

Site selection for building solar farms in deserts is crucial and must consider the dune threats associated with sand flux, such as sand burial and dust contamination. Understanding changes in sand flux can optimize the site selection of desert solar farms. Here we use the ERA5-Land hourly wind data with 0.1° × 0.1° resolution to calculate the yearly sand flux from 1950 to 2022...

Mapping the seamless hourly surface visibility in China: a real-time retrieval framework using a machine-learning-based stacked ensemble model

Surface visibility (SV), a key indicator of atmospheric transparency, is used widely in the fields of environmental monitoring, transportation, and aviation. However, the sparse distribution and limited number of SV monitoring sites make it difficult to fulfill the urgent need for spatiotemporally seamless fine-scale monitoring. Here, we developed the operational real-time SV...

Skillful prediction of length of day one year ahead in multiple decadal prediction systems

Despite a small amplitude, Length of Day (LOD) change, which varies from one year to another due to changes in Atmospheric Angular Momentum (AAM), determines the accuracy of Global Positioning System (GPS) time calculation. In this study, we examine the prediction skill of LOD and AAM in nine decadal prediction systems archived for the Decadal Climate Prediction Project. A...

A shift towards broader and less persistent Southern Hemisphere temperature anomalies

Temperature anomalies considerably influence the regional climate and weather of the extratropics. By the end of this century, climate models project an intensification of synoptic temperature variability in the Southern Hemisphere mid-latitudes. This intensification, however, comprises temperature anomalies with various length scales and periods, which might respond differently...

Temporal coherence in particulate matter in East Asian outflow regions: fingerprints of ENSO and Asian dust

Understanding temporal coherence in particulate matter (PM) pollution across East Asian outflow regions is crucial for collaborative efforts in addressing air pollution challenges. In this study, we analyze daily PM exceedance patterns using ground-based measurements over the past two decades, focusing on the influence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Asian dust...

Record-high Antarctic Peninsula temperatures and surface melt in February 2022: a compound event with an intense atmospheric river

The Antarctic Peninsula (AP) experienced a new extreme warm event and record-high surface melt in February 2022, rivaling the recent temperature records from 2015 and 2020, and contributing to the alarming series of extreme warm events over this region showing stronger warming compared to the rest of Antarctica. Here, the drivers and impacts of the event are analyzed in detail...

Data driven models of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: understanding its evolution and ENSO modulation

Understanding the physical mechanisms of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and its evolution is a major concern within the climate community. Its main importance relies on its ability to act as a source of predictability within the intra-seasonal time-scale in tropical and extratropical regions, therefore filling the gap between weather and climate forecasts. However, most...

What controls the interannual variation of Hadley cell extent in the Northern Hemisphere: physical mechanism and empirical model for edge variation

The Hadley circulation is the most prominent atmospheric meridional circulation, reducing the radiatively driven equator-to-pole temperature gradient. While the Hadley cell extent varies by several degrees from year to year, the detailed dynamical mechanisms behind such variations have not been well elucidated. During the expanded phase of the Hadley cell, many regions on the...

Boosting effect of strong western pole of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the decay of El Niño events

The Indian Ocean Basin (IOB) mode is believed to favor the decay of El Niño via modulating the zonal wind anomalies in the western equatorial Pacific, while the contribution of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) mode to the following year’s El Niño remains highly controversial. In this study, we use the evolution of fast and slow decaying El Niño events during 1950–2020 to demonstrate...

A comprehensive dataset of luminescence chronologies and environmental proxy indices of loess-paleosol deposits across Asia

Loess-paleosol sequences have been used in Asia to study climate and environmental changes during the Quaternary. The scarcity of age control datasets and proxy indices analysis data for Asian loess has limited our understanding of loess depositional processes and the reconstruction of paleoclimatic changes from loess-paleosol records. In this study, we present a dataset that...

Synergistic observation of FY-4A&4B to estimate CO concentration in China: combining interpretable machine learning to reveal the influencing mechanisms of CO variations

Accurately estimating the concentration of carbon monoxide (CO) with high spatiotemporal resolution is crucial for assessing its meteorological-environmental-health impacts. Although machine learning models have high predictive ability in environmental research, there are relatively few explanations for model outputs. Utilizing the top-of-atmosphere radiation data of China’s new...

Warming-induced hydrothermal anomaly over the Earth’s three Poles amplifies concurrent extremes in 2022

Climate warming is causing an increase in the frequency and severity of heatwaves and extreme precipitation events, posing a threat to both socioeconomic stability and human lives. In 2022, five record-breaking heatwaves and floods occurred, it is suggested a new concurrent extreme feature in the study, which is linked to the three Poles warming and ice/snow melting. The...

Volcanic forcing of high-latitude Northern Hemisphere eruptions

High-latitude explosive volcanic eruptions can cause substantial hemispheric cooling. Here, we use a whole-atmosphere chemistry-climate model to simulate Northern Hemisphere (NH) high-latitude volcanic eruptions of magnitude similar to the 1991 Mt. Pinatubo eruption. Our simulations reveal that the initial stability of the polar vortex strongly influences sulphur dioxide lifetime...

Deep learning reveals moisture as the primary predictability source of MJO

The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is the dominant mode of tropical intraseasonal variability that interacts with many other Earth system phenomena. The prediction skill of the MJO in many operational models is lower than its potential predictability, partly due to our limited understanding of its predictability source. Here, we investigate the source of MJO predictability by...

QBO modulation of MJO teleconnections in the North Pacific: impact of preceding MJO phases

This study examines the influence of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) on the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) teleconnections in the North Pacific using ERA5 data. It is found that the Rossby wave trains induced by MJO phase 6–7 exhibit greater strength and robustness during the westerly QBO winter (WQBO) than during the easterly QBO winter (EQBO), although the MJO itself is...

Seasonal predictability of the extreme Pakistani rainfall of 2022 possible contributions from the northern coastal Arabian Sea temperature

During the summer of 2022, Pakistan and northwestern India were hit by an unprecedented spell of heavy rainfall. Despite capturing major tropical climate anomalies, almost all seasonal prediction systems failed to predict the extreme event, far surpassing the 2010 event. While trying to find possible causes of such a failure through an analysis of inter-member anomalies and...

Seasonal to decadal variations of precipitation oxygen isotopes in northern China linked to the moisture source

A precise characterization of moisture source and transport dynamics over the inland margins of monsoonal China is crucial for understanding the climatic significance of precipitation oxygen isotope (δ18Op) variability preserved in the regional proxy archives. Here, we use a general circulation model with an embedded water-tagging module to quantify the role of moisture dynamics...

Global land drought hubs confounded by teleconnection hotspots in equatorial oceans

Emerging data-driven techniques, such as Complex Networks (CNs), can identify spatial linkages between droughts on a global scale and can improve early warning systems. Recent studies used CNs to identify hotspots of global drought teleconnections as land drought hubs; however, these studies excluded the ocean regions in CN, an oversight that can upend the insights gained thus...

Quasi-Biennial Oscillation influence on Australian summer rainfall

The variability and distribution of Australia’s summer rainfall are influenced by modes of climate variability on multi-week to multi-year time scales. Here, we investigate the role of the stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and demonstrate that the QBO influences rainfall variations and extremes’ responses across large regions of Australia. We find the QBO modulates...

Seasonal predictability of the dominant surface ozone pattern over China linked to sea surface temperature

Mitigation surface ozone pollution becomes increasingly pivotal in improving China’s air quality. However, the impact of global sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) on the long-term predictability of China’s surface ozone remains challenging. In this study, we employ eigen techniques to effectively characterize dominant surface ozone patterns over China, and establish cross...

Response of winter climate and extreme weather to projected Arctic sea-ice loss in very large-ensemble climate model simulations

Very large (~2000 members) initial-condition ensemble simulations have been performed to advance understanding of mean climate and extreme weather responses to projected Arctic sea-ice loss under 2 °C global warming above preindustrial levels. These simulations better sample internal atmospheric variability and extremes for each model compared to those from the Polar...

How much we know about precipitation climatology over Tianshan Mountains––the Central Asian water tower

Tianshan Mountains are the headwater regions for the central Asia rivers, providing water resources for ecological protection and economic development in semiarid regions. Due to scarce observations, the hydroclimatic characteristics of the Tianshan Mountains Precipitation (TMP) measured over highland (>1500 m) regions remain to be revealed. Here, we show the TMP belongs to a...

Contributions of external forcing and internal variability to the multidecadal warming rate of East Asia in the present and future climate

External forcing and internal variability contribute to multidecadal variation in the warming rate of East Asia. By rescaling the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 multi-model mean to the temperatures observed for the 1890–2020 period, we find that external forcing contributes about −0.2 to 0.1 K decade−1 to the warming rate until the 1980s, but this rate increases to...