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Forecasting Large-Scale Habitat Suitability of European Bustards under Climate Change: The Role of Environmental and Geographic Variables

We modelled the distribution of two vulnerable steppe birds, Otis tarda and Tetrax tetrax, in the Western Palearctic and projected their suitability up to the year 2080. We performed two types of models for each species: one that included environmental and geographic variables (space-included model) and a second one that only included environmental variables (space-excluded model...

Estimating How Inflated or Obscured Effects of Climate Affect Forecasted Species Distribution

Climate is one of the main drivers of species distribution. However, as different environmental factors tend to co-vary, the effect of climate cannot be taken at face value, as it may be either inflated or obscured by other correlated factors. We used the favourability models of four species (Alytes dickhilleni, Vipera latasti, Aquila fasciata and Capra pyrenaica) inhabiting...

Using crisp and fuzzy modelling to identify favourability hotspots useful to perform gap analysis

Alba Estrada 0 Raimundo Real 0 J. Mario Vargas 0 0 A. Estrada (&) R. Real J. M. Vargas Biogeography, Diversity, and Conservation Research Team, Department of Animal Biology, Faculty of Sciences