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Evaluating Markov chains and Bayesian networks as probabilistic meteorological drought forecasting tools in the seasonally dry tropics of Costa Rica

Meteorological drought is a climatic phenomenon that affects all global climates with social, political, and economic impacts. Consequently, it is essential to develop drought forecasting tools to ... , and its impact is reflected in social, political, and economic costs (UNDRR 2021; IPCC 2021) . For instance, in 2011, the drought in the Horn of Africa affected almost 13 million people, and in 2012

Collective memory for political leaders in a collaborative government system: Evidence for generation-specific reminiscence effects

Collective memory is shared by a group and is part of that group’s identity. Memory for political leaders is a prototypical case of collective memory. The present study investigated collective memory ... generation-specific reminiscence effect was observed in any of the previous studies on collective memory for political leaders in single-leader systems. One reason for the lack of such generation-specific

People from the U.S. and China think about their personal and collective future differently

people think about the past and the future similarly. We suggest political and cultural differences (such as dialectical thought) as potential explanations for the differences between countries in future ... . Of course, there are a number of sociological differences between China and the U.S.—China is radically different in its political structure (authoritarian vs. democratic government), media, and

The impact of group identity on the interaction between collective memory and collective future thinking negativity: Evidence from a Turkish sample

and two in the next 70 years for Turkey, and rated events’ valence, centrality, and transitional impact. Past events were dominated by national political events whereas future events’ themes were more ... literature by providing data from a context characterized by political turmoil and sharp divides, investigating the generalizability of previous findings and directly addressing the link between sociopolitical

How people think about the truth of hypothetical impossibilities

Conference of the European Society for Philosophy and Psychology. Author Note The raw data for the experiments are accessible at the Open Science Framework at https://osf.io/rtcxj/. The study materials are ... ). Counterpossible non-vacuity in scientific practice . The Journal of Philosophy , 116 ( 1 ), 32 - 60 . Thompson , V. A. , & Byrne , R. M. J. ( 2002 ). Reasoning counterfactually: making inferences about things that

Grounding of abstract concepts related to power

– parties, countries, or political leaders (past or present) were depicted to indicate the political system. For democracy, a lot of drawings referred to voting of political parties, either by showing a ... example, differences in opinion between people, or depicted political demonstrations. Wealth and poverty In the ratings of images, the significant main effect of content indicated that the presence of

From Karl Menger to Charles Menger? How Austrian economics (hardly) spread in France

discussed as pure economics replaces political economy in the Interwar period, with the 1938 Paris Congress of “liberal thinkers,” as the Vienna Circle became known, also comparing issues in philosophy. The ... reason for such a situation? Criticisms of classical political economy have to be understood in their French context. In comparison to other countries, this paper details the case of France, besides

From Karl Menger to Charles Menger? How Austrian economics (hardly) spread in France

discussed as pure economics replaces political economy in the Interwar period, with the 1938 Paris Congress of “liberal thinkers,” as the Vienna Circle became known, also comparing issues in philosophy. The ... reason for such a situation? Criticisms of classical political economy have to be understood in their French context. In comparison to other countries, this paper details the case of France, besides

Living-in-history effect in the dating of important autobiographical memories

veterans (58%) than among nonveterans (28%). The memory content analysis revealed that public event references were mostly used to date public memories (e.g., war and political struggle) and the memories ... participants who experienced a major collective transition during their formative years. Young people affected by collective transition share similar social, political, and economic consequences, which would

Heat waves: a hot topic in climate change research

rising temperatures and humidity levels measured as “wet-bulb temperature” (WBT). Risk estimation and future strategies for adaptation to hot weather are major political issues. We identified 104 citation ... political sciences. The scientific community has contributed extensively to a comprehensive understanding of the earth’s climate system, providing various data and projections on the future climate as well as

Implicit intertemporal trajectories in cognitive representations of the self and nation

passage of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 and its role in advancing political equality for African Americans, or of a particular junior scholar in a prestigious academic program overcoming her imposter ... across political affiliations in the American sample. From this evidence, Shrikanth et al. (2018) concluded that personal and collective future thought were dissociable domains of future thought—that is

In the absence of private property rights: Political control and state corporatism during Putin's first tenure

for appropriate market infrastructure. This also implied that if Russia's political and economic system had more than one competing hierarchy, the objective of the elites would not have entailed long ... state involvement in Russia?s economy during the last century summarized in Table 1. In period 1 the otherwise revo2003). Recently emerged political party competition, which thrived under Putin?s

An objective procedure for rainy season onset and withdrawal dates over the Mexico Valley Basin

. A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Environmental Science , Policy, and Management in the Graduate Division of the University

The effect of bilingualism on executive functions when languages are similar: a comparison between Hungarian–Serbian and Slovak–Serbian young adult bilinguals

Experimental Psychology, University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Philosophy , Novi Sad , Serbia 2 Division of Psychology and Language Sciences, University College London , London , UK 3 Laboratory for Experimental ... Psychology, University of Belgrade, Faculty of Philosophy , Belgrade , Serbia 4 Department of Psychology, University of Belgrade, Faculty of Philosophy , Belgrade , Serbia Among the factors argued to

Central Asia — twenty-five years after the breakup of the USSR

Central Asia consists of five culturally and ethnically diverse countries that have followed different paths to political and economic transformation in the past 25 years since achieving independence ... adoption of a broad spectrum of economic, institutional and political reforms. The major obstacles to political reform and structural diversification in the five Central Asian economies are internal and

Statistical analysis of extreme temperatures in India in the period 1951–2020

microregions which are considered susceptible to extreme temperatures, to recognize the authorities responsible for those places. To establish the sites, we considered the smaller areas of India’s political ... extreme temperatures. This option also allows an improvement on the effectiveness of preventive measures to be studied and applied, and an easier identification of the political leaders responsible for

The Austrian school of economics in Russia: From criticism and rejection to absorption and adoption

Dissemination and adoption of Western economic ideas in Russia have never been a simple process, always bearing marks of the socio-political and ideological circumstances of the country and inner ... economists writing on the New Austrian school were interested either in the philosophy of Hayek (N. Makasheva (1989) ) or Mises-style political pamphlets and advice (B. Pinsker, L. Piyasheva), or both (R

The Austrian school of economics in Russia: From criticism and rejection to absorption and adoption

Dissemination and adoption of Western economic ideas in Russia have never been a simple process, always bearing marks of the socio-political and ideological circumstances of the country and inner ... either in the philosophy of Hayek (N. Makasheva (1989) ) or Mises-style political pamphlets and advice (B. Pinsker, L. Piyasheva), or both (R. Kapeliushnikov, Yu. Kochevrin, and A. Zaostrovtsev). We

I forgot that I forgot: PTSD symptom severity in a general population correlates with everyday diary-recorded prospective memory failures

, M. W. ( 2014 ). Separating the shirkers from the workers? Making sure respondents pay attention on self-administered surveys . American Journal of Political Science , 58 ( 3 ), 739 - 753 . Blevins , C ... twenty years of real-life/laboratory controversy in memory research: A critical (and historical) review . History and Philosophy of Psychology , 6 , 59 - 80 . Laughland , A. , & Kvavilashvili , L. ( 2018

Lessons in stabilization and prospects for growth: Russia's economic policy in 2016

Economic growth is a primary challenge of the political agenda of leading countries, including Russia. This study discusses existing hypotheses that are related to “secular stagnation” and the ... prevents “creative destruction” (political factors), and the irrelevance of the GDP measurement (statistical problems). Limits to growth contribute to a new global policy trend and the emerging of populism