Journal of Population Economics

The Journal of Population Economics is an international quarterly that publishes original theoretical and applied research in all areas of population ...

List of Papers (Total 229)

From homemakers to breadwinners? How mandatory kindergarten affects maternal labour market outcomes

The majority of Swiss children attend mandatory and cost-free kindergarten at age four. We examine the effect of this policy on maternal labour market outcomes. Using administrative data from Switzerland, we exploit the birthday cut-off for kindergarten entry in the same or in the following year and apply a non-parametric regression discontinuity design (RDD). We find that...

Sibling correlations and intergenerational mobility across immigrant groups

We examine intergenerational income persistence and economic assimilation among immigrant groups, focusing on sibling correlations in permanent earnings. Using Dutch administrative data and a heterogeneous income transmission model, we analyze variations across genders, ethnic backgrounds, and immigrant generations. Our results show that, while sibling correlations in income are...

Optimal sequential fertility choices under discriminatory preferences

This paper investigates the optimal fertility strategy and its impact on the fertility rate and parental investment in a patriarchal society. Parents with son bias first make sequential fertility choices and then make parental investment decisions based on the realized sex composition of children. The optimal fertility strategy is a one-stage look-ahead strategy and represents a...

The different effects of Covid on children with parents in teleworkable and non-teleworkable occupations

Covid school closures and the switch to online learning have had long-lasting detrimental effects on students. These adverse effects differ according to children’s family background. Teleworking parents can better monitor and help their children with online learning. In this paper, I test whether parents’ teleworkability affected children’s online learning during Covid school...

Religiously inspired baby boom: evidence from Georgia

This study investigates the Georgian Orthodox Church’s response to declining fertility rates through a 2007 intervention, wherein the Patriarch personally baptized 3 $$^\text {rd}$$ and higher-parity children. Employing synthetic control and interrupted time series methods using macro data, we find suggestive evidence of increased fertility rates. Validating these findings with...

The seen and unseen: the unintended impact of a conditional cash transfer program on prenatal sex selection

This study examines the unintended consequences of the Janani Suraksha Yojana, a conditional cash transfer program in India, on prenatal sex-selective behaviour within a son-preference culture. This program unintentionally altered existing trends in prenatal sex selection through its simultaneous provision of cash incentives to households and community health workers as well as...

Peers, parents, and self-perceptions: the gender gap in mathematics self-assessment

It is well established that boys perceive themselves to be better in mathematics than girls, even when their ability is the same. We examine the drivers of the gender gap in self-assessed mathematics ability using a longitudinal study of twins. Using measures of individual self-assessment in mathematics from childhood, along with mathematics levels and test scores, cognitive...

The subjective well-being of immigrants and natives during Covid-19

This study investigates the subjective well-being of immigrants and natives in the United Kingdom (UK) during the Covid-19 pandemic. A novel aspect of this research is that we exploit the quasi-experimental nature of the pandemic to analyse the potential causal impact of neighbourhood embeddedness in mitigating the adverse shock on subjective well-being. We proxy subjective well...

The effect of Ukrainian refugees on the local labour markets: the case of Czechia

Following the Russian Federation’s invasion of Ukraine on $$24^{th}$$ February 2022, over a quarter of the Ukrainian population became displaced. Czechia emerged as a key destination, granting temporary protection to approximately 433,000 Ukrainians by the end of 2022, thus sheltering the highest per capita number of Ukrainian refugees worldwide. The swift enactment of the ‘Lex...

Social contacts, unemployment, and experienced well-being: evidence from time-use data

We analyze how differences in the frequency and intensity of social contacts contribute to the experienced well-being of employed and unemployed individuals. In the UK Time-Use Survey, we observe that people generally enjoy being with others more than being alone. The unemployed tend to feel worse than the employed when engaging in the same kind of activities, partly because they...

Hospital supply and infant mortality: Evidence from Islamic political representation in Turkey

We investigate the impact of healthcare facility supply on infant mortality by exploiting a change in local governments in Turkey as a quasi-exogenous shock to local hospital supply. Using a regression discontinuity design, we find a significant decline in infant mortality in municipalities where an Islamic mayor was barely elected. Exploring potential channels, we document a...

Schooling mobility across three generations in six Latin American countries

This paper presents new evidence on schooling mobility across three generations in six Latin American countries. By combining survey information with national census data, we have constructed a novel dataset that includes 50,000 triads of grandparents, parents, and children born between 1890 and 1990. We estimate five intergenerational mobility measures, finding that...

Does testing young children influence educational attainment and wellbeing?

Should young children be tested? Proponents view early testing as a necessary instrument for early targeting. Others consider it detrimental to child mental health and with little impact on educational performance. We exploit variation in low-stakes test-taking in mathematics amongst primary school children in Norway, traditionally a low-testing environment. We examine the...

A family affair? Long-term economic and mental health effects of spousal cancer

Research on the family spillover effects of health shocks, which has focused mainly on labor market outcomes, has yielded inconclusive results, with limited insight into long-term consequences or underlying mechanisms. We analyze the short- and long-term impacts of cancer on the unaffected spouse’s labor supply and mental health as well as marital stability, considering gender...

Health and relationship quality of sexual minorities in Europe

A growing body of literature investigates inequalities between sexual minorities and their heterosexual peers. This paper deals with disparities in health, health-related behaviours, and relationship quality among LGB+ individuals. We use a novel data set that allows for a wide cross-national analysis (27 EU member states) of disparities between sexual minorities and the rest of...

Sexual orientation stereotypes and job candidate screening: why gay is (mostly) OK

To explain the conflicting findings on hiring discrimination against applicants in a same-sex marriage, we explore the perceptual drivers behind employers’ evaluations. Therefore, we conduct a vignette experiment among recruiters, for which we test systematically selected stereotypes from earlier studies. We find causal evidence for distinct effects of same-sex marriage on...

Does far-right populism affect immigrants’ working conditions?

Anti-immigrant stances are central in far-right populist propaganda. We investigate whether the electoral success of far-right populist parties affects the labor market conditions of immigrants. Using administrative panel data from Italian manufacturing workers in 1994–2005, we show that higher electoral support for the populist party Lega Nord significantly increases injury...

Material and social deprivation among one-person households: the role of gender

We explore whether gender has a statistically significant impact on material and social deprivation of single adults after accounting for other characteristics. We use data from the 2022 European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions survey for six European countries. By assuming deprivation as an individual latent trait and by treating different deprivation levels as...

From pink collar to lab coat: cultural persistence and diffusion of socialist gender norms

We study vertical transmission and societal diffusion of gender norms using the large immigration wave from the former Soviet Union (FSU) to Israel in the early 1990’s. Tracking the educational choices of an entire cohort, born in 1988–89, we compare gender gaps among immigrants from the FSU versus natives and immigrants from other countries. We find smaller gender gaps among FSU...

Networks abroad and culture: global individual-level evidence

This paper analyzes whether natives with a network abroad have a distinctive cultural stance compared to similar individuals without such connections within the same region. Using individual-level data on connectedness from the Gallup World poll across 2256 within-country regions over 148 countries, it characterizes individuals’ cultural stance based on three traits: pro-social...

Life after loss: the causal effect of parental death on daughters’ fertility

Using Austrian administrative data, this study examines the causal effect of parental death on daughters’ fertility through a difference-in-differences approach. The findings indicate that parental death leads to quantitatively insignificant changes in the number of children and the probability of childlessness. Complementary analyses show no substantial effects on labor market...

The impact of pension reform on employment, retirement, and disability insurance claims

We evaluate the 2011 comprehensive reform of Norwegian early retirement institutions using a parsimonious random utility choice model. Conditional on employment at age 60, we estimate a three-state conditional logit model to explain the realized labor market state at age 63 among the alternatives of employment, retirement, and disability program participation. The reform...

Estimating the prevalence of child labour in the cocoa industry via indirect elicitation methods: a mixed-methods study

Data from children suggest that the prevalence of child labour in the cocoa industry in Côte d’Ivoire is a worrying 38%. However, while surveying children has the potential to reduce sensitivity biases such as social desirability bias, it presents significant ethical dilemmas and may also be associated with other reporting biases, making accurate estimates of child labour...