Direct comparison of five serum biomarkers in early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma
Cancer Management and Research
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Direct comparison of five serum biomarkers in
early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma
This article was published in the following Dove Press journal:
Cancer Management and Research
Hongda Chen,1,* Yue
Zhang,1,2,* Siwen Li,3,* Ni Li,1
Yuhan Chen,4 Bei Zhang,3
Chunfeng Qu,1 Huiguo
Ding,4 Jian Huang,3,5 Min Dai1
National Cancer Center/National
Clinical Research Center for Cancer/
Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy
of Medical Sciences and Peking
Union Medical College, Beijing,
China; 2Office of Scientific Research,
Beijing Obstetrics and Gynecology
Hospital, Capital Medical University,
Beijing, China; 3Liver Research Center,
Experimental Center, Beijing Friendship
Hospital, Capital Medical University,
Beijing Key Laboratory of Translational
Medicine in Liver Cirrhosis, Beijing,
China; 4Department of Gastrointestinal
and Hepatology, Beijing You’ An
Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical
University, Beijing, China; 5National
Clinical Research Center of Digestive
Diseases, Beijing, China
1
*These authors contributed equally to
this work
Correspondence: Min Dai
National Cancer Center/National Clinical
Research Center for Cancer/Cancer
Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical
Sciences and Peking Union Medical
College, Panjiayuannanli 17, Beijing
100021, China
Tel +86 10 8778 7394
Email
Jian Huang
Liver Research Center, Experimental
Center, Beijing Friendship Hospital,
Capital Medical University, Beijing Key
Laboratory of Translational Medicine in
Liver Cirrhosis,Yong’an Road 95, Beijing
100050, China
Tel +86 10 6313 9310
Email
Introduction
Liver cancer is the sixth most commonly diagnosed cancer worldwide and the second
leading cause of cancer-related death.1,2 Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts
for 70–90% of all new liver cancer cases, largely in association with chronic hepatitis
B virus (HBV) infection.1–4 Stage at diagnosis is the most important prognostic factor, with a 5-year overall survival rate of 50–70% at early stages and less than 5% at
advanced stages. Therefore, diagnosis of HCC at a curative stage and surveillance of
non-malignant chronic liver diseases carrying a risk of HCC are key to improving the
poor prognosis of HCC.
Abdominal ultrasonography is the main recommended tool in HCC diagnosis and
surveillance.3,5 However, abdominal ultrasonography presents rather limited sensitivity
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http://dx.doi.org/10.2147/CMAR.S167036
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Background: Although a number of serum biomarkers for detection of hepatocellular carcinoma
(HCC) have been explored, their exact diagnostic value remains unclear. We aimed to conduct
a direct comparison of five representative serum biomarkers for detecting HCC and to derive
multi-marker prediction algorithms.
Patients and methods: In total, 846 patients were recruited from three hospitals in China,
including 202 HCC patients, 226 liver cirrhosis patients, 215 chronic hepatitis B virus-infected
patients, and 203 healthy volunteers. Serum levels of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), lens culinaris
agglutinin-reactive AFP (AFP-L3), des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP), squamous cell
carcinoma antigen, and centromere protein F autoantibody were measured by ELISA. The
diagnostic performances of individual biomarkers and multi-marker combinations were evaluated by receiver operating characteristics analysis. The bootstrapping method was adopted to
adjust for potential overfitting of all diagnostic indicators.
Results: DCP exhibited the best diagnostic performance, with areas under the curve (AUC)
for detecting HCC of 0.82 (95% CI 0.64–0.80) and sensitivity of 65.2% (95% CI 63.3–82.1%)
at 90% specificity. Of note, DCP showed similar diagnostic efficacy for detecting AFP-positive
and AFP-negative HCC. After a comprehensive search for multi-marker combinations, a twomarker prediction algorithm including AFP and DCP was constructed and yielded an AUC of
0.87 (95% CI 0.68–0.84) for detecting HCC. In addition, the combination showed good ability
in discriminating early-stage HCC and decompensated liver cirrhosis, with an AUC of 0.81
(95% CI 0.75–0.86).
Conclusion: DCP could be a complementary biomarker in the early diagnosis of HCC. The
constructed multi-marker prediction algorithms could contribute toward distinguishing HCC
from non-malignant chronic liver diseases.
Keywords: early detection, liver cirrhosis, prediction model
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Chen et al
in detecting HCC and is further hampered by inter- and intraobserver variability.6 Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is currently the
best established serum biomarker for the diagnosis of HCC.7,8
However, the diagnostic performance of AFP in detecting
HCC is suboptimal, with sensitivities of 41–65% and specificities of 80–90% at a commonly used cutoff value of 20 ng/
mL.9,10 In particular, much lower sensitivity was observed in
detecting early-stage HCC and smaller tumors.9 Therefore,
the identification of effective and reliable non-invasive biomarkers for diagnosis and surveillance of HCC is urgently
needed and is of high clinical and public health relevance.
To date, a number of serum biomarkers carrying diagnostic potential for detecting HCC have been identified,11,12
such as lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive AFP (AFP-L3),13,14
des-gamma carboxyprothrombin (DCP),15,16 squamous cell
carcinoma antigen (SCCA),17,18 and centromere protein F
autoantibody (anti-CENPF).19 Although these biomarkers
have been evaluated in several studies, the diagnostic performance varied greatly across studies, and evidence of a
direct comparison of the diagnostic performance of multiple
biomarkers in the same population is sparse, especially for
Chinese populations.7,8 In addition, promising results were
commonly reported in some studies which tried to combine
different biomarkers and constructed multi-marker prediction
models.7,8,14 However, some results should be interp (...truncated)