The relationship between climate and outbreak characteristics of the spruce budworm in eastern Canada

Climatic Change (2008) 89:447–449 DOI 10.1007/s10584-008-9478-x ERRATUM The relationship between climate and outbreak characteristics of the spruce budworm in eastern Canada David R. Gray © Springer Science + Business Media B.V. 2008 Erratum to: Climatic Change (2008) 87:361–383 DOI 10.1007/s10584-007-9317-5 Unfortunately, in the printed version of this article Figs. 1, 2, 5 and 6 were displayed in black and white where colour reproduction was necessary. Please find the colour figures below. Fig. 1 The 4,744 cells (30,000 ha) in which forest composition, climate variables, and spruce budworm outbreak characteristics were summarized The online version of the original article can be found at http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-007-9317-5. D. R. Gray (B) Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service – Atlantic Forestry Centre, P.O. Box 4000, Fredericton, NB E3B 5P7, Canada e-mail: 448 Climatic Change (2008) 89:447–449 Fig. 2 Historical observations, and model predictions, of outbreak severity (% defoliation) and duration (years) in the 3,245 cells used to build the model. Cells within each rectangular grid were permuted in Monte Carlo simulations for significance testing of explanatory variables. a observed severity; b predicted severity; c observed duration; d predicted duration 3 s_mmin 2 1 s_emax arid dur sev con 0 w_emin lag -1 -2 -4 s_dd s_emin -2 0 2 4 6 Fig. 5 Regression biplot of the model where Y is the matrix of spruce budworm outbreak characteristics, and X is the combined matrix of significant climate variables, forest composition, and geographic location. For clarity, only the climate variables (XC ) have been displayed. A regression biplot shows the rate of change in yk (a variable of Y) per unit change in x j (a variable of X) when the other variables of X are held constant. The change in s_emax or s_emin (proportion of 1 s.d.) necessary to produce a –1.0 s.d. change in dur and sev, respectively, are shown by the dotted lines that intersect the s_emax and s_emin vectors Climatic Change (2008) 89:447–449 449 Fig. 6 Projected changes (2081–2100 values minus historic values) in climate variables s_emax (◦ C) and s_dd (◦ C-day), and the predicted changes to spruce budworm outbreak duration (years) and severity (% defoliation; future model predictions minus historic model predictions). a predicted change in s_emax; b predicted change in s_dd; c predicted change in duration; d predicted change in severity  (...truncated)