Reliability evaluation of modular multilevel converter based on Markov model
J. Mod. Power Syst. Clean Energy
https://doi.org/10.1007/s40565-019-0515-8
Reliability evaluation of modular multilevel converter based
on Markov model
Liang ZHANG1,2 , Dan ZHANG3, Ting HUA1, Jihong ZHU2,
Gang CHEN4, Tongzhen WEI5, Ting YANG1
Abstract The modular multilevel converter (MMC) is
now the most attractive topology for medium and high
voltage power conversion applications with several
advantages over the traditional voltage source converter
(VSC). However, due to a large number of sub-modules
(SMs) in the MMC, system reliability is a big challenge in
its practical application, where each SM may be considered
as a potential point of failure. In this paper, a reliability
evaluation based on the Markov model is proposed for the
MMC. The failure rates of the power electronic devices
and SMs are firstly analyzed. Then, the Markov model and
the state transition equation of the system are built in detail.
A general reliability evaluation function is established, in
which the mean time to failure and reliability evaluation of
the MMC with redundant SMs are also discussed. Finally, a
practical direct current (DC) distribution example for
reliability evaluation is analyzed, and the results verify that
CrossCheck date: 21 December 2018
the reliability evaluation based on the Markov model could
provide a useful reference for project design.
Keywords Modular multilevel converters, Reliability
evaluation, Markov model
1 Introduction
The offshore wind power has been widely developed in
Europe, China, the United States and Australia [1]. Voltage
source converter (VSC) based high voltage direct current
(HVDC) transmission systems, including multi-terminal
HVDC systems, are widely applied to transmit the power
[2, 3], in which the modular multilevel converter (MMC)
topology attracts the most attention of researchers [4]. The
MMC topology is also used in DC distribution and power
quality control, such as a unified power flow controller
(UPFC) and static synchronous compensator (STATCOM)
[5, 6]. Most research has focused on the operation and control
Ting YANG
Received: 23 December 2017 / Accepted: 24 December 2018
Ó The Author(s) 2019
& Liang ZHANG
1
School of Power Electric Engineering, Nanjing Institute of
Technology, Nanjing 211167, China
2
State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Technology and Systems,
Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
3
School of Electronic Information and Electrical Engineering,
Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China
4
State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Company Xuzhou Power
Supply Company, Xuzhou 221005, China
5
Institute of Electrical Engineering, Chinese Academy of
Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
Dan ZHANG
Ting HUA
Jihong ZHU
Gang CHEN
Tongzhen WEI
123
Liang ZHANG et al.
strategy of MMCs [7–11], while their failure prediction has
not received much discussion, although it is an important
issue in power systems [12, 13]. Hence, there is a big motivation to find a solution for reliability evaluation and submodule (SM) redundancy configuration of the MMC.
Some tentative work has been done in previous studies.
For example, redundancy and reliability indexes of the
MMC were defined in [14], but the general reliability
function was not built. Also, using the k-out-of-n: G model
and Gamma distribution, a reliability function of MMC
was established [15], wherein the failure rates of SM
components were based on the experience-hypothesis.
Explicit models of components were not given. Some
research has focused on the optimal number of SMs,
without considering reliability evaluation [16, 17].
In this paper, the Markov model is proposed to analyze
the failure rates of the MMC and its SMs, based on a
graphical representation of system states. A general function for reliability evaluation of the MMC is given. The
mean time to failure and reliability evaluation of the MMC
with a redundant SM are both discussed.
The paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, the
basic operation principles of the MMC are presented. In
Section 3, the cause and impact of SM failure are discussed. Reliability analysis of MMC is given in Section 4,
and with a redundant SM in Sections 5. Finally, an
example analysis is provided in Section 6.
S1
P
3 Cause and impact of SM fault
Each SM may be considered as a potential point of
failure [19]. Hence, it is important to know the causes and
impact of a SM fault.
123
+
uc
+
SM
S2
D2
iaP
Udc /2
SM
LS
ujm
L0
o
Udc /2
c
b
a
SM
iaN
SM
N
Fig. 1 Diagram of MMC
Table 1 Working mode of SM
State
S1
S2
ON
ON
OFF
uc
OFF
OFF
ON
0
BLOCK
OFF
OFF
2 Basic operation principles of MMC
A three-phase MMC is shown in Fig. 1, which consists
of six arms, with n SMs in each arm [18]. L0 is the arm
inductor; Udc is the DC bus voltage; ujm (j=a, b, c) is the
output voltage of phase j and uc is the capacitor rated
voltage.
Each SM has three states, as shown in Table 1. State A is
called ‘‘ON’’ state, where switch S1 is ON and switch S2 is
OFF. The output voltage is uc . State B is called the ‘‘OFF’’
state, where switch S1 is OFF switch S2 is ON. The output
voltage is 0 V. State C is called the ‘‘BLOCK’’ state, where
switch S1 and switch S2 are OFF. In the ‘‘BLOCK’’ state,
when the current is flowing into the SM, iSM is positive and
the output voltage is uc . When the current is flowing out of
SM,iSM is negative and the output voltage is 0 V.
D1
iSM
uSM
Positive
uc
Negative
0
3.1 Causes of SM fault
There are three main causes to trigger the failure of a
SM.
1)
Damage to a power electronic component
2)
The overload capability of power electronic components, such as insulated gate bipolar transistors
(IGBTs) and diodes, is limited, so overvoltage and
overcurrent might break them. Therefore, the damage
to a power electronic component is one of the most
common reasons to cause the SM fault.
Damage to a passive component
The DC capacitor is a key passive component in a
SM, and damage to it would also cause a SM fault.
Fortunately, its failure rate is lower than that of power
electronic devices.
Reliability evaluation of modular multilevel converter based on Markov model
3)
0
A faulty trigger pulse
If the trigger pulse signal experiences interference,
it could not operate the SM correctly, and this might
lead the SM to a fault in either short circuit or open
circuit mode [20].
y
P
ðpt Þi si
B
B
i¼1
þ pI kEOS
kdiode ¼ BðpU k0 Þ
@
son þ soff |fflfflffl{zfflfflffl}
|fflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl{zfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflfflffl}
kover
kdie
4 Reliability analysis of MMC
To evaluate the MMC’s reliability, an analysis of the
reliability of semiconductor devices (IGBTs and diodes)
and capacitors is first required for use in the Markov model.
4.1 Component failure rate
Power electronic components play an important role in
reliability of the whole system, so it is necessary to estimate their failure rates [21, 22]. An extensive database of
various types of parts is provided in the RDF-2000 [23],
which is widely accepted and frequently used to (...truncated)