Machine learning and artificial intelligence in liquid biopsy-based early detection of pancreatic cancer: a scoping review
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Machine learning and artificial intelligence in liquid biopsybased early detection of pancreatic cancer: a scoping review
Joy Ku1, Meenakshi Singhal1, Margaret Burnette2 and Samar A. Hegazy1
✉
© The Author(s) 2026
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Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) presents as a cancer with an especially poor prognosis, largely due to the challenges
surrounding its early diagnosis. Liquid biopsy has emerged as a promising, noninvasive method for screening across a variety of
cancers. This approach is limited, however, by the extensive heterogeneity of biological samples, a challenge that teams are looking
to address using artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) strategies. By harnessing the ability of ML algorithms to extract
the most salient features from complex datasets, researchers can identify biomarkers with high predictive value for PDAC. This
review explores the current landscape of AI-powered liquid biopsy for early PDAC diagnosis, focusing on specific techniques and
their respective degrees of success. Following PRISMA-ScR guidelines, 85 studies were extracted from PubMed and Scopus with a
final 18 studies included. The majority of papers utilized blood (n = 15) as the source of liquid biopsy, with the remainder analyzing
urine, bile, or cyst fluid. Random forests (n = 9) and support vector machines (n = 7) were the most frequently implemented ML
models, while two papers focused on deep learning methods. Limitations include the lack of standardized reporting for model
performance metrics and small cohort sizes with non-granular labels.
BJC Reports; https://doi.org/10.1038/s44276-026-00232-y
INTRODUCTION
Pancreatic cancer, typically referring to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), is among the most lethal common cancers due
to delayed diagnosis and subsequent poor prognosis and survival
rates. One of the key contributing factors to this is the nonspecific
nature of the disease’s presenting symptoms, which include
fatigue, back or abdominal pain, weight loss, and jaundice [1, 2].
Challenges in screening for PDAC are further exacerbated by early
metastatic dissemination of PDAC through possible cellular
reprogramming mechanisms, as recently highlighted by Opsahl
et al. and their investigations in organ-specific premetastatic niche
formation [3]. Unfortunately, the incidence of PDAC continues to
rise in the United States across all ethnicities in both men and
women, with minority women experiencing the most disproportionate increases [4, 5]. PDAC is also projected to become the
second-leading cause of cancer-related mortality by 2030 [6]. A
large proportion of cases are metastatic or locally advanced at
diagnosis, precluding surgical intervention for these patients. Only
15–20% of patients are eligible for resection at presentation, and
even with optimal therapy, the 5-year survival rate remains
approximately 10% in the United States [7]. Coupled with limited
effective treatment options, there is also a lack of available
screening strategies. As such, teams across the world are actively
investigating potential biomarkers for early detection of PDAC,
leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) or machine learning (ML) tools
to streamline the process of identifying those with high diagnostic
and prognostic value. This scoping review focuses on the most
recent developments in this area, first highlighting the main PDAC
biomarkers and sources of liquid biopsies being investigated.
Then, specific current AI techniques and associated performance
metrics are discussed, including current limitations and future
potential.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
Pancreatic cancer
PDAC patients are more likely to present with advanced disease at
initial diagnosis, with roughly 28% exhibiting regional spread to
the lymph nodes and 51% with distant metastasis as reported by
the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance, Epidemiology, and
End Results Program [8]. The lack of timely detection can be
partially attributed to the pancreas’s retroperitoneal location,
which leads to a clinically silent malignancy until the neoplasm
grows to a significant size that obstructs surrounding ducts. PDAC
is also considered genetically aggressive due to its high frequency
of driver mutations like KRAS (>90%), and inactivation of key
tumor suppressor genes such as CDKN2A, TP53, and SMAD4
[9, 10]. These mutations result in the progression of pancreatic
precursor lesions to malignancy associated with rapid local
invasion and distant metastatic spread.
With rates of PDAC incidence on the rise, there is a growing
need for strategic screening to identify possible cases at earlier
timepoints. Current guidelines recommend that individuals who
may have a strong family history of pancreatic cancer or genetic
syndromes that increase their risk of developing PDAC, along with
patients who have pancreatic cysts (intraductal papillary mucinous
neoplasms or mucinous cystic neoplasms) be screened [11, 12].
While pancreatic cysts do not necessarily indicate subsequent
Carle Illinois College of Medicine, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA. 2University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA. ✉email:
1
Received: 19 November 2025 Revised: 10 April 2026 Accepted: 4 May 2026
J. Ku et al.
2
malignant transformation, the ability to define an at-risk population who should undergo further testing is the first step to shifting
the timeline in the detection of PDAC. Current screening measures
include performing an endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) or magnetic
resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) [13]. However,
these can be costly, semi-invasive, and increase the risk of
potential harm to patients [14].
Liquid biopsy
Liquid biopsy, the use of readily available biological fluid samples,
is an increasingly employed diagnostic approach for cancer
biomarker analysis. Liquid biopsies are either non- or minimally
invasive and can potentially lower equipment expenses to allow
for more routine and accessible screenings. Utilizing liquid biopsybased testing for PDAC surveillance can mitigate some of the
challenges faced by imaging-based screening methods. Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) is the only currently FDA-approved
blood biomarker for PDAC [15]. Diagnostic efficacy of CA19-9
alone remains suboptimal, with its pooled sensitivity, specificity,
and AUC at 72%, 86%, and 0.8474, respectively [16]. As such, there
is a call for the use of multianalyte panels in conjunction with
CA19-9 in order to improve the diagnostic potential of liquid
biopsies. Analytes available from liquid biopsies vary widely
(Fig. 1), with extracellular vesicles (EVs), microRNAs (miRNAs),
circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), and circulating tumor cells (CTCs),
being at the forefront of developments within the field of early
cancer detection [17].
EVs are nanoparticles with a lipid bilayer and are secreted by all
cell types into surrounding fluids. They display tissue-specific
surface protein ma (...truncated)