Correction for guessing in choice reaction time
Correction for guessing in choice reaction time'
JOHN 1. YELLOTT, JR.
UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA
Additional theoretical and experimental results are presented for a choice reaction time performance model described by Oilman (1966). A formula is given for estimating
the latency distribution of true recognition responses from
the results of a single session; the estimate is invariant with
respect to changes in the proportion of "guess" responses
and with respect to fluctuations in the latency distribution
of guesses.
A recent note by OIlman (1966) describes a model
for performance in choice reaction time (CRT) sttuations. According to this model the S in a CRT experiment ma,kes two kinds of responses: fast "guess" responses, and slower responses which represent the
outcome of a (possibly imperfect) recognition process.
The latter will be referred to as "stimulus controlled
responses" (SCRs). The relative frequency of guesses
and SCRs is controlled by the S, and presl.Ullably reflects
his effort to attain an optimal balance between speed
and accuracy. OIlman presents results which allow the
parameters of the model to be estimated if data are
available from several experimental sessions-corresponding to several different observed proportions of
correct and incorrect responses. The present note reports an additional result which allows the "trQ.e" reaction time distribution, i.e., the latenoy distribution of
the stimulus controlled responses, tobeestimated:(rom
the data of a single session. The equation expressing this
result can be regarded as a "correction for guessing"
formula. Further experimental tests of the model are
also reported.
Consider a CRT taek involving two stirn-Wi Sl and
~. The SUbJect is instructed to makEl response Ai (i =
1, 2) when st is presented, and we aSSI.UllEl that st and
S2 are presented randomly over trials with F( st) =.5. The
model supposes that on any trial the s1,1bject makes
either a guess ref!ponse (with probabU~ty 1...q) ora SCR
(with probability q). If the eubject guesses, he makes
response Ai with (bias) probabUity bt regardless of
which stimulus was presented. The latency of each guess
response is assumed to be a random sample of a random variable Lg with distribution function IlIg [i.e.,
P(Lg~t)=IlIg(t») and mean fig. If the subject makes a
SCR, the response is correct with probability a> .5,
and its latency is a random var~able Ls with distribution
function Ills and mean fis' The latency of a SCR is independent of which stimulus... response pair actually occurs. It is natural to suppose that guesses are faster
than SCRs, i.e., that fig< fis' but the results given
below do not depend on such an assumption.
In relating the model to observable quantities, the
following notation is used: Pc denotes the (marginal)
Psychon. Sci., 1967, Vol. 8 (8)
probability of a correct response, Pe the probability of
an error, Fdt) the probability that a correct response
latency is less than or equal to t, F e(t) the probability
tba.t an incorrect response latency is ~ t, Me the mean
latency 01), correct responses, and Me the mean latency
on incorrect responees. The follOwing results can then
be derived from the model:
2PcFc(t)=cl(t) [2pc-1] +llIg(t)
(1)
2peFe(t)=c2(t) [2pc..1] +1lIg(t)
(2)
(3)
where
c (t) = 2allls(t)-llIg (t)
1
2a-1
c2 (t) = 2(1-a) Ills (t) -llIg(t)
2a-1
Equation (3) is the correction for guessing formula that
permits estimation of Ills from results of a single session. The following equations are immediate corollaries
of (1), (2), and (3), respectively.
whe;re
2pc Mc" c1 (2pc-1) + fig
(4)
2PeMe;;: c 2 ( 2Pc-1) + fig
(5)
VcMc - PeM~ = fl.
Pc-Pe
s
(6)
2(1-a)
fis - fLg
c2 "' _
_."..,;;,..-2..
~a-i
EquatiQns (4) I\lld (5) appear in OllllllUl.' s paper (in somewhat di«erent notation); they describe linear relationI!!hips useful in testing the model. However, the test
implied by (4) and (5) couldfa.iUfthe latency distribution
o{ guess responses varied from session to session,
i.e •• if fi g varied. In such a case the model would remain Elssentially valid, but a plot of 2PcMc and 2PeMe
against 2Pc-1 would not reflect this. Consequently, itis
of interest to observe that Equation (6) is independent of
fig' and thus provides a test of the invariance of fis
that is unaffected by changes in guessing latencies, as
well as gueesing prob/lbUities. Note that (6) can be
obtained by subtracting (5) from (4).
Ollman's paper reports a test of the pre<Uction that
2PcMc and 2PeMe will be linearly related to 2pc-1. A
somewhat stronger test of the model is afforded by the
fact that f;4e relationship between 2PcMe and 2Pc-1 can
be predicted using the sioPEl (c2) and intercept (fig)
parameters estimated from a plot of 2PeMe against
2Pc"l, the mean of the fis estimates provided by Equation (6), and the fact that c1 -c2 = 2 fis'
321
Method
Three hired subjects were run in a two stimulus-two
response CRT experiment. There were 16 experimental
sessions, each consisting of 480 trials. The choice stimulus on each trial was a red or green illumination of
the screen of an lEE Series 10 read-out. In all sessions
red and green stimuli occurred randomly over trials
with equal probability. Responses were key depressions
using the left or right forefinger. Within each session
a fixed "deadline" condition prevailed; responses faster
than the deadline were rewarded by computing the percentage of all such responses within each session and
awarding one half cent for each percentage point. Immediate feedback on response speed was provided on
each trial in the form of a 40 msec 800 cps tone burst
that occurred if and only if the latency on that trial
exceeded the prevailing deadline. Eight deadline conditions were studied: 150, 200, 250, 300,350,400, 500,
and 800 msec. Each condition was employed in two sessions, so that 960 responses were madebyeach subject
under each deadline. Under all conditions subjects were
SUBJECT I
SUBJECT 2
• 21l: Me
700
..lig .203
Jis '297
600
500
2Pe Me
0-.98
x 2PeMe
700
..lig' 194
..lis -287
a '.98
• 2Pc Me
x 2Pe Me
and 400
2Pe Me
300
200
100
o '-';--';;"'..."'""'"~"""'"
o
ALL SUBJECTS
SUBJECT 3
700 )/g.181
.J.'s·292
o· .96
:~~~~
.I
700 .Jig'194
)4,'292
• SUBJ Eel I
• SU BJ Eel 2
0 SU BJ Eel 3
.~,Y
0-1.0
./
;:''''0
",M
/
/
•
"
instructed to be "fast and accurate" and to try not to
make more than 5% errors. However, no penalty was
imposed for errors. The three Ss had had extensive
practice in earlier reaction time tasks, but were naive
as to the purpose of the present experiment.
Results
For purposes of analysis the 960 responses made
under each deadline condition were combined and treated
as if they had been generated by a Single session. Figure
1 shows the plots of 2PcMc vs 2Pc-1, and 2PeMe vs
2Pc-1, for each subject and for all subjects together.
In each graph the lower line of points corresponds to
2PeMe' and the solid line through these points is the best
fitting straight line as determined by least (...truncated)