Serious Error with “Serious Error”: Repairing A Broken System of Capital Punishment
Washington University Law Review
Volume 79
Issue 3
January 2001
Serious Error with “Serious Error”: Repairing A Broken System of
Capital Punishment
Adam L. VanGrack
Washington University School of Law
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Recommended Citation
Adam L. VanGrack, Serious Error with “Serious Error”: Repairing A Broken System of Capital Punishment,
79 WASH. U. L. Q. 973 (2001).
Available at: https://openscholarship.wustl.edu/law_lawreview/vol79/iss3/7
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SERIOUS ERROR WITH “SERIOUS ERROR”:
REPAIRING A BROKEN SYSTEM OF
CAPITAL PUNISHMENT
I. INTRODUCTION
Six days following Professor James Liebman and his colleagues’
release of the study A Broken System: Error Rates in Capital Cases, 19731995 (the “Liebman Study”),1 Washington Post columnist David Broder
wrote:
In the annals of politics, there have been few pieces of social
research which have decisively affected the course of policy debate.
Michael Harrington’s “The Other America”2 opened the eyes of the
nation—and of Presidents Kennedy and Johnson—to the extent of
poverty in this nation. Daniel Patrick Moynihan’s essay on “The
Negro Family” 3 alerted President Richard Nixon and his successors
to the plight of female -headed welfare families.
Now, there may be a third. James S. Liebman’s just-published
report, “A Broken System: Error Rates in Capital Cases 19731995,” 4 transforms the debate on the death penalty as much as those
earlier works did the understanding of poverty and welfare in
America.5
This Note is written as a warning to Mr. Broder and those who have
read and will read the Liebman Study. Although the study tracks “serious
error”6 found throughout capital cases in the U.S. judicial system, the
study contains serious error itself. This Note does not claim that Professor
Liebman and his colleagues’ conclusions are incorrect. It may be true that
1. James S. Liebman, Jeffery Fagan, & Valerie West, A Broken System: Error Rates in Capital
Cases, 1973-1995, (June 12, 2000), at http://justice.policy.net/jpreport/index.html [hereinafter
Liebman Study], reprinted in James S. Liebman, Jeffery Fagan, Valerie West, & Jonathan Lloyd,
Capital Attrition: Error Rates in Capital Cases, 1973-1995, 78 TEX. L. REV. 1839 (2000) (abridged
version of the original) [hereinafter Capital Attrition].
2. MICHAEL HARRINGTON , T HE OTHER AMERICA : P OVERTY IN THE UNITED STATES (1962).
3. OFFICE OF POLICY PLANNING & RESEARCH , U.S. DEP’ T OF LABOR, THE NEGRO FAMILY:
THE CASE FOR NATIONAL ACTION (1965).
4. Liebman Study, supra note 1.
5. David Broder, Editorial, Broken Justice, WASH . POST, June 18, 2000, at B7 (emphasis and
notes added).
6. “Serious error” as referenced in this Note refers to “serious error” as defined by the Liebman
Study. See Liebman Study, supra note 1, at 134-37 nn.33-40. For a discussion of “serious error,” as
defined by the Liebman Study, see infra Part IV.B.
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the U.S. capital punishment system is wrought with “serious error,” 7 in
need of serious reform,8 and “broken.”9 However, such conclusions are not
supported by the data found in the Liebman Study or the analysis
conducted within it.10 As policy makers and legal experts begin to use the
conclusions of the Liebman Study as part of their decision-making
process,11 those who analyze the study must assure the public that the
study’s conclusions are properly supported. This Note specifically
addresses the degree of significance that policy makers, legal experts, and
the general public can place on the conclusive findings of the Liebman
Study.
Although the Liebman Study attempts to determine whether the U.S.
capital punishment system is “broken,” 12 in the course of their study, the
authors execute procedures that cast doubt upon the validity of their
conclusions. Their data is unavailable for peer review;13 certain important
parts of the study are left out from the analysis; 14 key variables are vaguely
defined; 15 and the authors make unsupported assumptions about the
meaning of certain variables.16
This Note assesses the validity of the Liebman Study’s conclusions and
the significance of its results. Part II of this Note provides both a general
background of the recent history of capital punishment and an overview of
certain aspects of social scientific research. Part III of this Note discusses
the history, findings, and recent impact of the Liebman Study. Part IV of
this Note examines the data, analysis, and process of the Liebman Study.
Part V of this Note discusses the proper methodology and data analysis
that the Liebman Study’s authors could have utilized to successfully
support the study’s conclusions.
7. Liebman Study, supra note 1, at 134-37 nn.33-40.
8. Id. at 121-24.
9. Id. For a discussion of the Liebman Study and its conclusions, see infra Parts III-IV.
10. See discussion infra Parts IV-V.
11. See infra notes 85-88 and accompanying discussion.
12. Liebman Study, supra note 1, at 121-24.
13. See Ronald Eisenberg, Prosecutor Comments on Latzer and Cauthen, P ROSECUTOR, Jan./Feb.
2001, at 16, 16 (noting that Professor Liebman and his colleagues’ “refusal to share underlying data
with researchers” and how such actions are “particularly troubling”). Further, the information on the
variables within the study is too vague for a reader to assess the distinct data collection and selection
procedure of Professor Liebman and his colleagues. See, e.g., Liebman Study, supra note 1, at 134-37
nn.33-40.
14. See, e.g., Liebman Study, supra note 1, at 64, 68, 80 (discarding the use of Virginia in the
study’s state-by-state analysis because it does not support their theory).
15. See, e.g., id. at 134-37 nn.33-40 (describing the study’s definition of “serious error”).
16. See discussion infra Part IV.B.2 (discussing how high rates of capital “serious error,” as
defined by the Liebman Study, are not an indication, as the study claims, of a broken system).
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II. GENERAL BACKGROUND
A. Recent Historical Background of Capital Punishment17
During the twenty-three year span of the data utilized within the
Liebman Study, from 1973 to 1995,18 many legal events occurred that
dramatically altered the state of the U.S. capital punishment system. 19 Just
one year before the study’s data range began, the Supreme Court found the
death penalty, as applied by the states, unconstitutional as “cruel and
unusual punishment” under the Eighth Amendment (...truncated)