Reliability of sonographic fetal weight estimation in triplet pregnancies: a retrospective cohort study
Archives of Gynecology and Obstetrics
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00404-018-4746-0
MATERNAL-FETAL MEDICINE
Reliability of sonographic fetal weight estimation in triplet
pregnancies: a retrospective cohort study
Sophie Pils1 · Stephanie Springer2 · Rudolf Seemann3 · Verena Wehrmann1 · Christof Worda2 · Johannes Ott1
Received: 7 August 2017 / Accepted: 12 March 2018
© The Author(s) 2018
Abstract
Purpose To review our experience in ultrasound fetal weight estimation in our large population of triplet pregnancies.
Methods Ninety-seven triplet pregnancies were retrospectively included between January 2003 and January 2017. Sonographic fetal weight estimation using Hadlock’s and Schild’s formulas was compared to actual birth weight in a tertiary-care
center in Vienna, Austria. Statistical analyses were performed using a stepwise linear regression model and crosstabs.
Results The median discrepancy between the sonographically estimated fetal weight by Hadlock’s formula and the actual
birth weight was 106 g (IQR 56–190). The percentage error and its standard deviation were − 2.5 ± 12.1%, and the median
percentage error was − 3.6%. Concerning the use of Hadlock’s formula, estimated fetal weight was the most important factor
predictive of actual birth weight with an estimate of 0.920 (p < 0.001). Female neonates had been overestimated by a mean
of 50.473 g per fetus. The sonographic prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates was significantly reliable (p < 0.001),
with positive and negative predictive values ranging from 81.3 to 100.0%. Similar results were obtained for Schild’s formula.
Conclusion Even if sonographically estimated fetal weight in triplet pregnancies has a high overall accuracy of fetal weight
estimation, there are some limitations in prediction of intrauterine growth restrictions, especially in female fetuses.
Keywords Fetal weight · Birth weight · Multiple pregnancy · Triplet pregnancy · Ultrasound
Introduction
In times of increasing number of multiple pregnancies that
also include triplets [1], clinical knowledge of these issues
needs to be expanded. Exact sonographic estimation of fetal
weight before delivery is essential in these pregnancies for
several reasons: triplet pregnancies are associated with
high rates of preterm deliveries [2–5]; and the teams on the
neonatal intensive care units need the information before
* Johannes Ott
1
Clinical Division of Gynecologic Endocrinology
and Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics
and Gynecology, Medical University of Vienna, Waehringer
Guertel 18‑20, 1090 Vienna, Austria
2
Clinical Division of Obstetrics and Fetomaternal
Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology,
Medical University of Vienna, Waehringer Guertel 18‑20,
1090 Vienna, Austria
3
Department of Craniomaxillofacial and Oral Surgery,
Medical University of Vienna, Waehringer Guertel 18‑20,
1090 Vienna, Austria
delivery to be accurately prepared for postnatal treatment.
Moreover, there is an increased incidence of fetal growth
restriction in triplets [6], which is linked to higher risks for
preterm delivery, poor perinatal outcomes, and increased
mortality and morbidity [7, 8]. And, last but not least, birthweight discordance is significantly associated with fetal and
neonatal mortality in both twin and triplet pregnancies [9].
Ultrasound is the only tool to predict fetal weight. Accuracy depends on clinical experience, surrounding factors
including the time interval between weight estimation and
delivery, and quality of the equipment [10]. Moreover, the
performance of ultrasound could be seen as more difficult in
triplets. Empirically, especially non-experts can experience
troubles in fetal sonography due to higher risk of malpresentation and double measurements. In addition, birth-weight
discordance is common among multiple pregnancies [6].
Thus, the question arises whether ultrasound is a reliable
method in triplet pregnancies. Evidence about the accuracy
of sonographically estimated fetal weight in triplet pregnancies is scarce [8–13]. Although good correlations between
estimated fetal weight and actual birth weight have been
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Archives of Gynecology and Obstetrics
reported [12], the reliability for the identification of growthrestricted fetuses seems suboptimal [8, 13].
Because only a few studies have been published that have
addressed this issue directly, providing more evidence seems
warranted. Thus, we aimed to present an analysis of our
clinical experience with sonographic fetal weight estimation and its accuracy in our large, retrospective population
of triplet pregnancies. The focus was also on factors that add
to biometry’s predictive value for an accurate estimation of
the actual birth weight, as well as on the reliability to predict small-for-gestational-age (SGA) neonates and growth
discrepancy.
Materials and methods
Patient population and study design
In this retrospective analysis, we studied 135 women who
were diagnosed with a triplet pregnancy at the time of the
first trimester screening from January 2003 to January 2017.
The following patients were then excluded from the study:
seven women did not deliver at the department and had no
follow-up and there were missing data in ten women. Moreover, we excluded all women who underwent multifetal pregnancy reduction (n = 15) or had an intrauterine fetal death
(IUFD) of at least one fetus before the onset of viability
(n = 6). This means that, only cases that started with triplets
and gave birth to triplets were included. This resulted in a
final study population of 97 triplet pregnancies with 291
fetuses/neonates for this analysis. Parts of these data have
been published previously with a focus on serial cervical
length measurements [14].
As reported previously [14–16], a screening program for
pregnant women at perceived risk of preterm delivery, which
includes multiple pregnancies, has been established for
many years at the Department of Maternal–Fetal Medicine
of the Medical University of Vienna, Austria. The department is the reference center for maternal–fetal medicine in
Eastern Austria and the annual number of deliveries was at
least 2500 during the study period. The screening program
included fetal biometry using Hadlock’s formula [17] and
cervical length measurement by transvaginal ultrasound
every 2 weeks from week 16 + 0 until delivery. All ultrasound examinations were performed by highly experienced
obstetricians, all members of the clinical working group
for multiple pregnancies, and were performed on the same
two ultrasound devices. A Toshiba Power Vision (Toshiba,
Tokyo, Japan) ultrasound machine was used until 2010, and
a Toshiba Aplio MX (Toshiba, Tokyo, Japan) machine since
2010.
The basic perinatology database at the department
uses the Viewpoint® software (GE Healthcare, Wessling,
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Germany), which was also used for data acquisition. In a
retrospective data set, it can be considerably difficult to
correlate each fetu (...truncated)