Hepatitis C infection in Egypt: prevalence, impact and management strategies
Hepatic Medicine: Evidence and Research
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Hepatitis C infection in Egypt: prevalence,
impact and management strategies
This article was published in the following Dove Press journal:
Hepatic Medicine: Evidence and Research
15 May 2017
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Asmaa Gomaa 1
Naglaa Allam 1
Aisha Elsharkway 2
Mohamed El Kassas 3
Imam Waked 1
1
Hepatology Department, National
Liver Institute, Shebeen EL Kom,
2
Endemic Medicine Department,
Faculty of Medicine, Cairo University,
3
Endemic Medicine Department,
Faculty of Medicine, Helwan
University, Cairo, Egypt
Video abstract
Prevalence
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Correspondence: Imam Waked
Hepatology Department, National Liver
Institute, 108 Tahrir street, Dokki, Giza,
Shebeen EL Kom 12311, Egypt
Tel +20 23 336 8090
Fax +20 48 223 4586
Email
The prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Egypt is the highest in the
world.1 This became apparent early on, soon after the discovery of HCV. Seroprevalence among Egyptian blood donors in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia was found to
be much higher than that in blood donors from all other nationalities.2 Since then, it
became apparent that HCV infection was widespread among Egyptians and that it
was the main cause of liver disease in the country. Until the HCV epidemic became
apparent, schistosomiasis was the most important public health problem in Egypt.3 In
1918, Christopherson made the discovery that injections with the antimony salt, tartar
emetic, could induce a cure.4 Mass treatment of the parasite was then introduced, and
from the 1950s to the 1980s, nationwide mass anti-schistosomal therapy with a series
of intravenous injections of tartar emetic was adopted by the Egyptian Ministry of
Health (MOH) with the advice and support of the World Health Organization (WHO).5,6
More than 2 million injections were given annually to an average of 250,000 patients.
Over the 18 years of treatment, 36 million injections were administered to >6 million
17
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http://dx.doi.org/10.2147/HMER.S113681
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Abstract: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a major public health burden in Egypt, where
it bears the highest prevalence rate in the world. Estimates for prevalence are based upon data
reported from the 2008 and 2015 Egypt Demographic Health Surveys. In this review, we demonstrate the prevalence results of both surveys and analyze the difference in the results. The overall
HCV prevalence is estimated to be declining. However, the clinical impact of chronic HCV
infection is expected to grow considerably. A mathematical model shows that by increasing the
rate of treatment, the expected number of patients will decline significantly in 2030. The current
and expected future burden of chronic HCV infection to the Egyptian economy, including direct
and indirect costs due to disability and loss of lives, has been estimated and discussed in this
review. The economic burden will continue to grow, but a model shows that the introduction of
highly effective therapies will result in a significant reduction in the cumulative total economic
burden of HCV by 2030. In recognition of the HCV tremendous health and economic burden,
the Egyptian government established the National Committee for Control of Viral Hepatitis to
implement an integrated nationwide strategy to provide patient care and ensure global treatment access. This review illustrates the epidemiological and disease burden aspects of HCV in
Egypt in addition to introducing the national plan and program for managing HCV, which has
been successful so far in treating a large number of patients, with the aim of achieving disease
control and eventual elimination in Egypt.
Keywords: hepatitis C in Egypt, prevalence, HCV burden, treatment strategy
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A
35
HCV antibody prevalence (%)
people, almost all with unsterilized and shared syringes and
needles. This represents the largest ever iatrogenic spread of
blood-borne infection.6
Several national studies over time showed very high
seroprevalence,7–10 and a large study in the Nile Delta in
1996 found a seroprevalence of 24% and viremic prevalence
of 15% among 3,999 examined adults and children, with
seroprevalence in adults >40%.11
The Demographic Health Survey (DHS) of 200812 showed
a national seroprevalence of 14.7% among those aged
between 15 and 59 years, with viremic prevalence of 9.7%
in this age group that increased with age and was higher in
males than in females in all age groups studied (Figure 1).
In a modeling study, to estimate the prevalence in those aged
<15 years in 2008, an exponential decline in viremic prevalence
was trended, and prevalence in those aged >59 years was set
by the authors to be equal to that in those aged 59 years. Using
this model, it was estimated that the national seroprevalence in
2008 was 12.5% and the viremic prevalence was 8.5%, and that
6.3 (5.7–7.0) million people were living with HCV infection.13
A mathematical model was used to estimate the 2014
prevalence. Assuming that 65,000 patients were treated annually with pegylated (PEG) interferon and ribavirin (RBV)
30
33
25
Men
Women
20
17
10
10
5
0
4
2
3
5
3
11
9
13
15
31
24
23
15
B
30
25
6
27.8
23.7
Men
Women
20
16.1
15
10.8
10
7.1
5
0
0.8
3.1
1.5
4.7
1.9
3.2
6.9
5.3
17.7
12.4
10.4
7.3
15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59
Age-group (years)
Figure 1 Percent of men and women with hepatitis C antibody by age in Egypt in
(A) 200812 and (B) 2015.15
Abbreviation: HCV, hepatitis C virus.
18
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with a sustained virologic response (SVR) rate of ~50%, that
32,000 patients were cured, that an estimated 150,000 new
infections occur annually leading to 100,000 chronic HCV
infections and that 150,000 persons with HCV die (120,000
of causes o (...truncated)