Steering open-source AI to accelerate the sustainable development goals
Comment
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-73866-8
Steering open-source AI to accelerate the
sustainable development goals
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Min Chen, Kai Wu, Prajal Pradhan, Cameron Allen, Stefano Nativi, Klaus Hubacek,
Alexey Voinov, Felix Creutzig, Tatiana Filatova, Niklas Boers, Michael Meadows,
Peilong Ma, Frank Biermann, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, John Ludden, Maria Paradiso,
Michael Batty, Huadong Guo, Min Cao, Peng Hou & Guonian Lü
While the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is
advancing rapidly, the open-source paradigm
offers key pathways and potential risks for
accelerating progress towards the Sustainable
Development Goals and beyond. This comment
introduces four governance actions that consider how sustainability, evaluation, safety, and
cooperation can be integrated into the transformation of open-source AI, thereby reducing
uncertainties and challenges posed by opensource AI for sustainable global prosperity.
The Artificial Intelligence (AI) Action Summit, held on February 10,
2025, in Paris, highlighted the rising international commitment to
harness AI for the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) proposed
and endorsed by the United Nations1,2, aligned with calls to govern AI in
the context of planetary health, across environmental, social, and
safety domains3. Between 2018 and 2024, the use of AI to support the
SDGs grew by 300%4, with contributions in agriculture monitoring
(SDG2), ecosystem governance (SDG15)5, and climate change mitigation (SDG13)6. The rise of open-source paradigms underpins this
transition toward a ubiquitous and efficient AI ecosystem. By making
the source code, weights, and training data open, releasing them under
an open-source license7, and allowing the community to study, use,
modify, and distribute them, open-source AI was initially envisioned to
inherently and efficiently accelerate global progress toward sustainable development.
However, as the open-source AI models have expanded, their
impact on the SDGs has revealed an increasingly complex and dualistic
nature for SDG progress7,8. The accessibility of open-source models
within unregulated environments has introduced critical inhibiting
effects that were previously overlooked. Specifically, the lack of
structured governance often leads to excessive resource consumption
and ethical vulnerabilities, which have not yet been well discussed. The
emerging reality suggests that without a deliberate transformation in
how these open-source AI models are managed, the openness intended to empower global SDGs could instead undermine it.
While many previous studies and frameworks have advanced the
understanding of open-source AI and sustainability, they remain
fragmented and separated. On the one hand, most studies emphasize
single-stage impacts (e.g., training or deployment) rather than
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addressing interdependencies across the full lifecycle of open-source
AI models9,10. On the other hand, existing open-source AI governance
frameworks, ranging from the United States’ innovation-oriented framework to the European Union’s risk-based regulatory framework11,
primarily operate within national or institutional silos, lacking
mechanisms for cross-border coordination and enforcement.
To address the challenges of open-source AI models and governance frameworks, we propose four actions tailored to them, which
would advance previous studies and frameworks in two ways. First,
they could contribute to shifting the focus from passive implementations to proactive interventions, embedding sustainability, accountability, and transparency throughout the development, deployment,
and reuse of open-source AI models. Second, the transformative
actions could introduce a multi-stakeholder and cross-scalar perspective, aligning developers, regulators, and users within a coordinated framework that connects local implementation with global
cooperation. We conceptualize open-source AI governance as a
dynamic interaction among sustainability (sustainable lifecycle management), evaluation (quantitative impact assessment), safety (regulation and scrutiny), and coordination (sharing and cooperation)
(Fig. 1), thereby aligning the open-source AI paradigm with sustainable,
ethical, and equitable principles.
Why open-source matters in AI models
Leveraging the opportunities offered by AI for SDGs is both desirable
and feasible. Recent innovations signal a transition toward an opensource paradigm8, aligning with the more accessible and adaptable
solutions of the SDGs. Furthermore, they enable localized modeling of
the SDGs and foster global collaboration in SDG modeling and policymaking.
The transition toward the open-source paradigm promotes the
dissemination of knowledge and the iterative refinement of SDG
modeling, which involves mathematical, statistical, and/or computational approaches for analyzing and projecting SDGs (e.g., SDG interaction analysis and scenario simulation)12. Through open access to
algorithms and collaborative development environments, this paradigm enables rapid model iteration in response to emerging SDG
challenges, such as epidemics, natural disasters, or conflicts, thereby
generating faster and more reliable insights into future SDG trends.
The ability to host open-weight AI models on highly optimized, dedicated infrastructure enables speeds of over 179 tokens per second
(versus 138 for a proprietary AI model)13, which is an advantage for
latency-sensitive applications addressing SDG challenges in specific
regions. In the environmental dimension of SDGs, open-source natural
language processing models like ChatClimate are being developed to
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Comment
Uncertainty: AI's
persistent environmental
footprint
Uncertainty: Lack of
standardized SDG impact
metrics
Uncertainty: Risks of AI
misuse and harm
Sustainable lifecycle
management
Quantitative impact
assessment
Regulation and
scrutiny
High-efficiency computing
hardware
Integrated baseline
indicator frameworks
Mandatory audits and
adversarial testing
Shared, modular AI
architectures
Context-aware impact
indicators
Robust regulatory frameworks
Minimizing redundant
deployment waste
Indicator-aligned datasets
and repositories
Ethical usage and reporting
Uncertainty: AI
infrastructure and talent
inequality
Sharing and
cooperation
Publishing policy-oriented
annual reports
Intergovernmental
negotiations and
consultations
Open-source
AI transition
for SDGs
FAIR-compliant openaccess platforms
Regional institution
collaboration
Fig. 1 | Uncertainties and solutions for the open-source Artificial Intelligence
(AI) transition. Key uncertainties of open-source AI persist regarding environmental impacts, assessment methodologies, potential misuse, and infrastructure
inequalities. Our proposed solutions address these through integrated governance
mechanisms: sustainable lifecycle management; quantitative impact assessment;
regulation and scrutiny; and sharing and (...truncated)